Sunday, October 9, 2011

Twitter Poll: GOP Primary -- Week Ending 10/8/2011

Herman Cain has maintained a substantial lead in Twitter mention share this week.


Cain lead comfortably all week, but discussion of Rick Perry's "camp problem" exaggerated both Perry and Cain mention share early in the week. Following the dust-up, Romney re-centered to his typical 20% share and Perry continued his steady decline into the middle of the pack.


On average, mention share analysis this week gives Cain a solid lead, followed by a 3-way race of Romney, Perry and, sometimes, Ron Paul.


Analysis of the mention space suggests that Cain's mention distribution has grown increasingly "purple" -- even showing a large number of "blue" mentions. This seems to be the norm for well-established candidates, which I would suggest Cain has now become:

In the coming weeks, I hope to be able to metricize both the "overall purpleness" of a candidate's mentions and their "supporter overlap" with other candidates. Also stay tuned this fall for a number of text-mining aggregations that have been in the works. And, of course, check back next Sunday for the latest Twitter Insta-polling from Take America Forward.


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