Newt Gingrich has a solid lead:
While Cain appears strong in the snapshot above, his high numbers this week are a mirage brought about by affair accusations and speculation about his Saturday announcement. The timing of his bumps this week supports this analysis:
The actual Cain numbers probably approximate the trough in the 7-day rolling trend -- and no doubt continue to fall:
The mention space has become more muddled, not less. It appears that much of the GOP base are still talking about multiple candidates; and a surprising number of politically engaged GOP tweeps are not talking about any of the candidates.
In the subtext: Watch Rick Santorum in Iowa and Ron Paul in New Hampshire.
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